Flood Hazard Zonation in Shahdad Watershed Using the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP)

Document Type : Research Paper

Authors

1 Kerman University of Advanced Industrial and Technology Postgraduate Education

2 Associate Professor, Department of Ecology, Institute of Science and High Technology and Environmental Sciences, Graduate University of Advanced Technology, Kerman

3 Associate Professor, Department of Ecology, Institute of Science and High Technology and Environmental Sciences, Graduate University of Advanced Technology, Kerman, Iran.

4 Associate Professor, Department of Ecology, Institute of Science and High Technology and Environmental Sciences, Graduate University of Advanced Technology, Kerman, Iran

Abstract
Floods are among the most destructive natural hazards, causing significant damage worldwide each year, particularly in Iran, and affecting numerous communities. Identifying high risk areas is a fundamental step toward mitigating flood impacts. Therefore, the preparation of flood hazard maps is essential for effective flood management and planning. The aim of this study is to assess and zone flood hazards in the Shahdad watershed using remote sensing and Geographic Information Systems (GIS). Flood susceptibility and flood inundation susceptibility maps were produced using processed satellite imagery from Landsat 8 (OLI sensor) and Sentinel 2. In this study, flood susceptibility is defined as the inherent potential of a catchment to generate runoff and produce flood events, whereas flood inundation susceptibility refers to the likelihood of an area being inundated and experiencing water accumulation due to incoming flood flows. To delineate flood hazard zones, the main criteria influencing both flood susceptibility and flood inundation susceptibility were identified through a comprehensive review of previous studies. These criteria included slope, vegetation cover, curvature, land use, geology, drainage density, topographic wetness index (TWI), stream power index (SPI), elevation, distance from the river, presence of obstacles within the river channel, and riverbed profile. Raster maps of each criterion were generated and classified in a GIS environment. The weights of the criteria were determined using the Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) implemented in Expert Choice software. Subsequently, Weighted Linear Combination (WLC) was applied to produce the final flood susceptibility and flood inundation susceptibility maps. The results indicate that 16%, 26%, 36%, 18%, and 3% of the study area fall into very high, high, moderate, low, and very low flood susceptibility classes, respectively. For flood inundation susceptibility, the corresponding percentages are 10%, 28%, 15%, 26%, and 21%. These findings provide valuable information for flood risk management and spatial planning in the Shahdad watershed.

Keywords


1- علیزاده ا، اصول هیدرولوژی کاربردیدانشگاه امام رضا (ع)، 1388.
2- هیات ویژه گزارش ملی سیلاب ها، روایت سیلاب های 1398-1397 ایران، مهر 1398.
3- فتوحی ص، کیانی س، ریز پهنه بندی ریسک سیلاب شهری با استفاده از مدل فرایند تحلیل سلسله مراتبی (مطالعه ی موردی: شهر نهاوند) نشریه علمی جغرافیایی آمایش محیط، 1394، 29(8)، صفحه 133-152. (DOI:10.30473/grup.2024.55316.2554)
 4- خسروی خ، معروفی نیا ا، نوحانی ا، چپی ک، ارزیابی کارایی مدل رگرسیون لجستیک در تهیه نقشه حساسیت به وقوع سیل. نشریه علمی پژوهشی مرتع و آبخیزداری، 1395، 69(4)، صفحه 676-863. (DOI:10.22059/jrwm.2017.61187)
5- اسفندیاری دارآباد ف، رحیمی م، پورمرتضی غ، پهنه بندی سیلاب حوضه آبریز آجرلو چای با استفاده از روش L-THIA و منطق فازیپژوهشهای ژئومورفولوژی کمّی، 1398، 8(2)، صفحه 155-171.
6- خلیلی ع، اسروش آ، ارزیابی آسیب پذیری ناشی از سیلاب در منطقه مکران با استفاده از نرم افزارArcGIS . فصلنامه جغرافیایی سرزمین، 1399، 11(1)، صفحه 11-66.
7-Javan, F., Atashbahar, R., & Motalebpoor, A. (2025). Zoning of Environmental Hazards in Tourism Destinations with Emphasis on Flooding (Case Study: Sarvabad County, Kurdistan Province). Journal of Environmental Research in Mountainous Regions, 1(3), 43-56. (DOI: 10.22034/ermr.2025.144141.1025)
8- Pratik, Dash.Jishnu, Sar (2020). Identification and validation of potential flood hazard area using GIS-based multi-criteria analysis and satellite data-derived water index, Journal of Flood Risk Management published by Chartered Institution of Water and Environmental Management and John Wiley & Sons Ltd. Pp123-145. (DOI:10.1111/jfr3.12620)
9- Lars Tierolfa. Hansde Moelb. Jaspervan Vlietb (2021). Modeling Urban Development And Its Exposure to River Flood Risk in Southeast Asia. Computers, Environment and Urban Systems. Volume 87, May 2021, 101620. (DOI:10.1016/j .compen vurbsys.2021.101620)
10-Taoukidou, N., Karpouzos, D., & Georgiou, P. (2025). Flood Hazard Assessment Through AHP, Fuzzy AHP, and Frequency Ratio Methods: A Comparative Analysis. Water, 17(14), 2155. ( DOI:.3390/w17142155)
11- Islam, I., Rahman, M. A., Adham, M. I., Majumder, A. A. S., & Zaman, A. (2025). Assessment and Zonation of Flood Susceptibility in Sylhet Division, Bangladesh Using GIS and Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP). Journal of Flood Risk Management, 18(4), e70121. (DOI:10.1111/jfr3.70121)
12- سلیمی موید س، دانش بومیِ انتقال و بهره برداری آب در شهداد. فصلنامه اثر، 1395، 37(73)، صفحه 59-92.
13- جلال آبادی ل, رمضان زاده لسبویی م،  شناسایی و تحلیل عوامل کلیدی مؤثر بر توسعه اکوتوریسم پایدار در بیابان لوت. نشریه گردشگری شهری, 1403، 11(4), صفحه 39-58. (DOI:10.22059/jut.2024.376997.1212)
14- علوی پناه ک، مطالعه دمای پدیده های سطحی حاشیه یاردانگ های بیابان لوت با استفاده از مطالعات میدانی و داده های حرارتی ماهواره. نشریه بیابان،1381، 7(2)، صفحه 67-79.
15-رامشت م, سیف ع، شاه زیدی س، انتظاری م، تأثیر تکتونیک جنبا بر مورفولوژی مخروط افکنه ی درختنگان در منطقه ی شهداد کرمان. مجله جغرافیا و توسعه, 1388، 7(16), صفحه 29-46. (DOI:10.22111/gdij.2009.1174)
16- Kamonchat seejataa, Aphiuha Yoddyinga, Tubtim Wongthadama, Nattapon Mahavika, SArintip Tantaneeb, Assessment of flood hazard areas using Analytical Hierarchy Process over the Lower Yom Basin, Sukhothai Province, the International Conference on Building Resilieence; Using scientific knowledge to inform policy and practice in disaster risk reduction, ICBR2017, 27-29 November 2017, Bangkok, Thailand. (DOI:10.1016/j.proeng.2018.01.044)
17- Kamonchat Seejataa, Aphiuha Yodyinga, Tubtim Wongthadama, Nattapon Mahavika Sarintip Tantaneeb, Assessment of flood hazard areas using Analytical Hierarchy Process over the Lower Yom Basin, Sukhothai Province,2017. (DOI: 10.1016/j.proeng.2018.01.044)
18- Hong H, Panahi M, Shirzadi A Ma, Liu J, Zhu A, Chen W, & et al. Flood susceptibility assessment in Hengfeng area coupling adaptive neuro fuzzy inference system with genetic algorithm and differential evolution. Science of The Total Environment. 2017; 621, 1124–1141. (DOI:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017.10.114)
19-Hong H, Panahi M, Shirzadi A Ma, Liu J, Zhu A, Chen W, & et al. Flood susceptibility assessment in Hengfeng area coupling adaptive neuro fuzzy inference system with genetic algorithm and differential evolution. Science of The Total Environment. 2017; 621, 1124–1141. (DOI:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017.10.114)
20- Moore, I.D., Grayons, R.B, and Ladson, A.R., Digital terrain modelling: a review of hydrological, geomorphological, and biological applications. Hydrol Process, 1991, v. 5, p.3-30.  (DOI:10.1002/hyp.3360050103)
21- D.S Fernandez, M.A. Lutz, urban flood hazard zoning In tucman province, argentina, using GIS and multicritria decision analys, Engineeing geology 111, (2010) 90-80. (DOI:10.1016/j.enggeo.2009.12.006)
22-Dass S. Geospatial mapping of flood susceptibility and hydro-geomorphic response to the floods in Ulhas basin, India. Remote Sensing Applications: Society and Environment. 2019; v. 14: 60-74.  (DOI:10.1016/j.rsase.2019.02.006).
23- شناور ب، حسینی م، اورک ن، ارزیابی توان سرزمین به منظور استقرار کاربری توسعه شهری با استفاده از روش ترکیب خطی وزن دار (WLC) در محیط سامانه اطلاعات مکانی (GIS)(مطالعه موردی: حوزه آبخیز زرد خوزستان). فصلنامه علوم و تکنولوژی محیط زیست، 1395، 18(3)، صفحه 99-116.